Recent numerical weather prediction models and real-time observations from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Beijing will reach a daily high of 19°C under stable atmospheric conditions with light southerly flow and partly cloudy skies. This forecast consensus has anchored trader sentiment, producing the overwhelming 99.6% implied probability for the 19°C outcome. Minor upward or downward revisions remain possible if boundary-layer mixing or incoming cloud cover shifts, yet current ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value. The highest temperature will be finalized once the full daily observation period concludes later today.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日北京最高溫度?
19°C 99.6%
23°C or higher <1%
20°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
$143,912 交易量
$143,912 交易量
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 99.6%
23°C or higher <1%
20°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
$143,912 交易量
$143,912 交易量
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent numerical weather prediction models and real-time observations from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Beijing will reach a daily high of 19°C under stable atmospheric conditions with light southerly flow and partly cloudy skies. This forecast consensus has anchored trader sentiment, producing the overwhelming 99.6% implied probability for the 19°C outcome. Minor upward or downward revisions remain possible if boundary-layer mixing or incoming cloud cover shifts, yet current ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this value. The highest temperature will be finalized once the full daily observation period concludes later today.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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