Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) confirm the highest temperature in Buenos Aires reached exactly 17°C on May 14, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome, as measured at the designated station such as Ministro Pistarini International Airport. This aligns with pre-event SMN forecasts predicting daytime highs of 16–18°C amid typical autumn conditions, featuring partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and reduced solar insolation that capped warming despite average May highs around 18°C historically. Trader consensus reflects this verified data release, with negligible risk of revision barring instrument recalibration—highly improbable for settled records—solidifying the resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 14?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 14?
17°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$65,975 交易量
$65,975 交易量
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$65,975 交易量
$65,975 交易量
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) confirm the highest temperature in Buenos Aires reached exactly 17°C on May 14, driving the market's 100% implied probability for this outcome, as measured at the designated station such as Ministro Pistarini International Airport. This aligns with pre-event SMN forecasts predicting daytime highs of 16–18°C amid typical autumn conditions, featuring partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and reduced solar insolation that capped warming despite average May highs around 18°C historically. Trader consensus reflects this verified data release, with negligible risk of revision barring instrument recalibration—highly improbable for settled records—solidifying the resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions