Recent meteorological guidance from the China Meteorological Administration indicates persistent low-level cloud cover and light drizzle across Chongqing on May 17, which suppresses solar heating and limits boundary-layer mixing under southerly flow. This setup holds the official daily maximum near 23 °C at the Jiangbei International Airport station, aligning with the market’s overwhelming 99.6 % implied probability for that outcome. Mid-May climatology for the Sichuan Basin typically features highs of 24–26 °C, yet elevated moisture and reduced insolation are suppressing afternoon peaks this year. Ensemble models show minimal spread, though traders continue to monitor final runs for any late shifts in precipitation timing or wind strength that could nudge readings one degree higher.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日重慶氣溫最高?
23°C 99.6%
26°C <1%
24°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
$46,426 交易量
$46,426 交易量
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 99.6%
26°C <1%
24°C <1%
18°C or below <1%
$46,426 交易量
$46,426 交易量
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent meteorological guidance from the China Meteorological Administration indicates persistent low-level cloud cover and light drizzle across Chongqing on May 17, which suppresses solar heating and limits boundary-layer mixing under southerly flow. This setup holds the official daily maximum near 23 °C at the Jiangbei International Airport station, aligning with the market’s overwhelming 99.6 % implied probability for that outcome. Mid-May climatology for the Sichuan Basin typically features highs of 24–26 °C, yet elevated moisture and reduced insolation are suppressing afternoon peaks this year. Ensemble models show minimal spread, though traders continue to monitor final runs for any late shifts in precipitation timing or wind strength that could nudge readings one degree higher.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions