Current forecast models indicate a tight cluster of maximum temperatures around 23–25°C for Chongqing on May 18, driven by typical late-spring conditions featuring moderate southerly flow, variable low-level moisture, and limited afternoon heating under partly cloudy skies. This scientific uncertainty—arising from differences in model representations of cloud cover, wind shear, and the city’s complex river-valley topography—explains why trader consensus remains closely split among the leading outcomes rather than converging on a single value. Historical May averages near 27°C provide baseline context, yet recent observational trends and ensemble runs suggest slightly cooler realization tomorrow. Updated model guidance from regional agencies expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月18日重慶氣溫最高？
5月18日重慶氣溫最高？
24°C 26%
25°C 23%
23°C 20%
26°C 9%
最新
$13,372 交易量
最新
$13,372 交易量
2026-05-18
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
7%
23°C
20%
24°C
26%
25°C
23%
26°C
9%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
24°C 26%
25°C 23%
23°C 20%
26°C 9%
最新
$13,372 交易量
最新
$13,372 交易量
2026-05-18
19°C or below
$580 交易量
<1%
20°C
$1,213 交易量
<1%
21°C
$5,405 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,261 交易量
7%
23°C
$403 交易量
20%
24°C
$558 交易量
26%
25°C
$400 交易量
23%
26°C
$784 交易量
9%
27°C
$773 交易量
5%
28°C
$1,170 交易量
1%
29°C or higher
$1,037 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models indicate a tight cluster of maximum temperatures around 23–25°C for Chongqing on May 18, driven by typical late-spring conditions featuring moderate southerly flow, variable low-level moisture, and limited afternoon heating under partly cloudy skies. This scientific uncertainty—arising from differences in model representations of cloud cover, wind shear, and the city’s complex river-valley topography—explains why trader consensus remains closely split among the leading outcomes rather than converging on a single value. Historical May averages near 27°C provide baseline context, yet recent observational trends and ensemble runs suggest slightly cooler realization tomorrow. Updated model guidance from regional agencies expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$13,372結束日期
2026-05-18市場開放時間
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models indicate a tight cluster of maximum temperatures around 23–25°C for Chongqing on May 18, driven by typical late-spring conditions featuring moderate southerly flow, variable low-level moisture, and limited afternoon heating under partly cloudy skies. This scientific uncertainty—arising from differences in model representations of cloud cover, wind shear, and the city’s complex river-valley topography—explains why trader consensus remains closely split among the leading outcomes rather than converging on a single value. Historical May averages near 27°C provide baseline context, yet recent observational trends and ensemble runs suggest slightly cooler realization tomorrow. Updated model guidance from regional agencies expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$13,372結束日期
2026-05-18市場開放時間
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETCurrent forecast models indicate a tight cluster of maximum temperatures around 23–25°C for Chongqing on May 18, driven by typical late-spring conditions featuring moderate southerly flow, variable low-level moisture, and limited afternoon heating under partly cloudy skies. This scientific uncertainty—arising from differences in model representations of cloud cover, wind shear, and the city’s complex river-valley topography—explains why trader consensus remains closely split among the leading outcomes rather than converging on a single value. Historical May averages near 27°C provide baseline context, yet recent observational trends and ensemble runs suggest slightly cooler realization tomorrow. Updated model guidance from regional agencies expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions