Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the Hong Kong Observatory and China Meteorological Administration points to a daily maximum near 35°C in Guangzhou on August 13 under persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit surface heating. These conditions align with climatological August averages of 33–35°C while suppressing the 36–37°C peaks seen earlier in the month. Trader consensus at 98.5% for 35°C reflects model agreement on convective inhibition of peak temperatures, with resolution hinging on official station readings. Minor shifts in storm timing or reduced cloudiness could allow brief excursions to 36°C, though current runs assign low probability to such outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日廣州最高溫度?
35°C 99%
36°C 2%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
$58,348 交易量
$58,348 交易量
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
99%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C或以上
<1%
35°C 99%
36°C 2%
29°C或以下 <1%
30°C <1%
$58,348 交易量
$58,348 交易量
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
99%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the Hong Kong Observatory and China Meteorological Administration points to a daily maximum near 35°C in Guangzhou on August 13 under persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms that limit surface heating. These conditions align with climatological August averages of 33–35°C while suppressing the 36–37°C peaks seen earlier in the month. Trader consensus at 98.5% for 35°C reflects model agreement on convective inhibition of peak temperatures, with resolution hinging on official station readings. Minor shifts in storm timing or reduced cloudiness could allow brief excursions to 36°C, though current runs assign low probability to such outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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