Forecast models from agencies including the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a high near 31–32 °C for Guangzhou on August 14, with moderate to heavy rain and thundershowers expected to limit daytime heating. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation associated with the regional monsoon pattern typically cap maximum temperatures 1–3 °C below the August climatological average of 33 °C. Recent model runs show consistent steering of moisture into the Pearl River Delta, reducing solar insolation and surface warming compared with clearer conditions observed on August 13. Trader consensus reflected in the closely bunched 31–33 °C probabilities aligns with this consensus outlook, while lower odds on 34 °C or higher reflect the low likelihood of rain suppression failing. Updated guidance from official meteorological centers will refine intensity and timing ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月14日廣州最高溫度?
32°C 33%
33°C 24%
31°C 22%
34°C 10%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
22%
32°C
33%
33°C
24%
34°C
10%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C或以上
<1%
32°C 33%
33°C 24%
31°C 22%
34°C 10%
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
3%
30°C
8%
31°C
22%
32°C
33%
33°C
24%
34°C
10%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from agencies including the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a high near 31–32 °C for Guangzhou on August 14, with moderate to heavy rain and thundershowers expected to limit daytime heating. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation associated with the regional monsoon pattern typically cap maximum temperatures 1–3 °C below the August climatological average of 33 °C. Recent model runs show consistent steering of moisture into the Pearl River Delta, reducing solar insolation and surface warming compared with clearer conditions observed on August 13. Trader consensus reflected in the closely bunched 31–33 °C probabilities aligns with this consensus outlook, while lower odds on 34 °C or higher reflect the low likelihood of rain suppression failing. Updated guidance from official meteorological centers will refine intensity and timing ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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