Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models cluster Guangzhou’s May 17 peak temperature near 28°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and patchy rain tied to the ongoing widespread precipitation event across southern China through May 19. This pre-monsoon pattern, common in the Pearl River Delta’s subtropical climate, limits daytime heating despite seasonal warmth that historically produces average highs of 29–30°C. Traders appear to price the modest clearing potential against moisture influx that could keep readings in the 27–29°C range, with official observations at Baiyun International Airport resolving the market by evening. Model spreads highlight uncertainty in convective timing, keeping the top outcomes tightly bunched.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日廣州最高溫度?
28°C 31%
27°C 20%
29°C 16%
30°C 13.7%
$10,938 交易量
$10,938 交易量
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
9%
27°C
20%
28°C
31%
29°C
23%
30°C
14%
31°C
1%
32°C或以上
1%
28°C 31%
27°C 20%
29°C 16%
30°C 13.7%
$10,938 交易量
$10,938 交易量
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
9%
27°C
20%
28°C
31%
29°C
23%
30°C
14%
31°C
1%
32°C或以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models cluster Guangzhou’s May 17 peak temperature near 28°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and patchy rain tied to the ongoing widespread precipitation event across southern China through May 19. This pre-monsoon pattern, common in the Pearl River Delta’s subtropical climate, limits daytime heating despite seasonal warmth that historically produces average highs of 29–30°C. Traders appear to price the modest clearing potential against moisture influx that could keep readings in the 27–29°C range, with official observations at Baiyun International Airport resolving the market by evening. Model spreads highlight uncertainty in convective timing, keeping the top outcomes tightly bunched.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions