Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies like the Finnish Meteorological Institute indicate that Helsinki's highest temperature on May 17 will reach approximately 16°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds. This aligns with historical May averages of 14–16°C and current data showing daytime peaks without significant warming from southerly flows or clear-sky solar heating. Model consensus points to minimal deviation, with no strong fronts or advection expected to push readings higher. Traders have priced in this outcome at 99.8% implied probability based on real-time station measurements and ensemble forecasts, though minor revisions could occur if afternoon cloud cover clears unexpectedly or if localized urban heat effects elevate official readings by 1–2°C before daily close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於赫爾辛基5月17日最高溫度?
16°C 99.8%
17°C <1%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
$50,475 交易量
$50,475 交易量
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
16°C 99.8%
17°C <1%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
$50,475 交易量
$50,475 交易量
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies like the Finnish Meteorological Institute indicate that Helsinki's highest temperature on May 17 will reach approximately 16°C under stable high-pressure conditions and light winds. This aligns with historical May averages of 14–16°C and current data showing daytime peaks without significant warming from southerly flows or clear-sky solar heating. Model consensus points to minimal deviation, with no strong fronts or advection expected to push readings higher. Traders have priced in this outcome at 99.8% implied probability based on real-time station measurements and ensemble forecasts, though minor revisions could occur if afternoon cloud cover clears unexpectedly or if localized urban heat effects elevate official readings by 1–2°C before daily close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions