Official measurements from the National Weather Service at Houston's primary reporting stations confirmed a daily high temperature of 90°F or above on May 16, producing the market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for an 88°F-or-higher outcome. This result aligned with seasonal warming trends and a persistent high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover and allowed strong solar heating under light southerly flow. Historical May normals near 87°F provide context for the elevated reading, while model consensus in the preceding days had already converged on upper-80s to low-90s conditions. Only an unforeseen post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could alter the recorded value, though such adjustments remain rare once initial quality-control checks are complete.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Houston on May 16?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 16?
88°F or higher 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$36,831 交易量
$36,831 交易量
2026-05-16
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
Yes
88°F or higher 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$36,831 交易量
$36,831 交易量
2026-05-16
69°F or below
$2,386 交易量
No
70-71°F
$4,319 交易量
No
72-73°F
$3,797 交易量
No
74-75°F
$3,568 交易量
No
76-77°F
$3,352 交易量
No
78-79°F
$1,024 交易量
No
80-81°F
$1,380 交易量
No
82-83°F
$2,555 交易量
No
84-85°F
$4,644 交易量
No
86-87°F
$4,135 交易量
No
88°F or higher
$5,670 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the National Weather Service at Houston's primary reporting stations confirmed a daily high temperature of 90°F or above on May 16, producing the market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for an 88°F-or-higher outcome. This result aligned with seasonal warming trends and a persistent high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover and allowed strong solar heating under light southerly flow. Historical May normals near 87°F provide context for the elevated reading, while model consensus in the preceding days had already converged on upper-80s to low-90s conditions. Only an unforeseen post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could alter the recorded value, though such adjustments remain rare once initial quality-control checks are complete.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$36,831結束日期
2026-05-16市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the National Weather Service at Houston's primary reporting stations confirmed a daily high temperature of 90°F or above on May 16, producing the market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for an 88°F-or-higher outcome. This result aligned with seasonal warming trends and a persistent high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover and allowed strong solar heating under light southerly flow. Historical May normals near 87°F provide context for the elevated reading, while model consensus in the preceding days had already converged on upper-80s to low-90s conditions. Only an unforeseen post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could alter the recorded value, though such adjustments remain rare once initial quality-control checks are complete.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$36,831結束日期
2026-05-16市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:08 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official measurements from the National Weather Service at Houston's primary reporting stations confirmed a daily high temperature of 90°F or above on May 16, producing the market's overwhelming 100% implied probability for an 88°F-or-higher outcome. This result aligned with seasonal warming trends and a persistent high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover and allowed strong solar heating under light southerly flow. Historical May normals near 87°F provide context for the elevated reading, while model consensus in the preceding days had already converged on upper-80s to low-90s conditions. Only an unforeseen post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly could alter the recorded value, though such adjustments remain rare once initial quality-control checks are complete.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions