National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance currently point to afternoon highs in the mid-to-upper 80s across Houston on May 17 under southerly flow and building high pressure, aligning with the market’s 57.5% implied probability for 84-85°F as the leading outcome. This positioning reflects Houston’s May climatology, where the 1991-2020 normal high at Bush Intercontinental Airport stands at 87°F and recent days have produced similar readings under partly cloudy skies. Minor model disagreements center on potential afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers that could cap peaks near the 85°F threshold rather than pushing into the low 90s. With the daily maximum determined by official station observations at day’s end, traders are weighting the balance between established warm-season patterns and short-term variability in boundary-layer moisture.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日休斯敦的最高溫度?
84-85°F 60%
86°F or higher 34.5%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
$20,365 交易量
$20,365 交易量
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
60%
86°F or higher
39%
84-85°F 60%
86°F or higher 34.5%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
$20,365 交易量
$20,365 交易量
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
60%
86°F or higher
39%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance currently point to afternoon highs in the mid-to-upper 80s across Houston on May 17 under southerly flow and building high pressure, aligning with the market’s 57.5% implied probability for 84-85°F as the leading outcome. This positioning reflects Houston’s May climatology, where the 1991-2020 normal high at Bush Intercontinental Airport stands at 87°F and recent days have produced similar readings under partly cloudy skies. Minor model disagreements center on potential afternoon cloud cover or isolated showers that could cap peaks near the 85°F threshold rather than pushing into the low 90s. With the daily maximum determined by official station observations at day’s end, traders are weighting the balance between established warm-season patterns and short-term variability in boundary-layer moisture.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions