Traders have overwhelmingly positioned on a 32°C high for Jakarta on May 17 based on the latest consensus from regional forecast models and early observational data showing afternoon peaks aligning precisely with that threshold. Mid-May climatology for the city typically features highs of 31–33°C amid stable trade winds and moderate humidity, with no active systems or anomalous warming patterns expected to push readings outside this narrow band. The market-implied odds capture the low uncertainty inherent in short-range temperature predictions, where official measurements from the Indonesian Agency for Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics rarely deviate once preliminary reports are issued. Only an unforeseen late-day spike or measurement revision could alter the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日雅加達的最高溫度?
32°C 100.0%
33°C <1%
27°C或以下 <1%
28°C <1%
$74,267 交易量
$74,267 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
32°C 100.0%
33°C <1%
27°C或以下 <1%
28°C <1%
$74,267 交易量
$74,267 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Traders have overwhelmingly positioned on a 32°C high for Jakarta on May 17 based on the latest consensus from regional forecast models and early observational data showing afternoon peaks aligning precisely with that threshold. Mid-May climatology for the city typically features highs of 31–33°C amid stable trade winds and moderate humidity, with no active systems or anomalous warming patterns expected to push readings outside this narrow band. The market-implied odds capture the low uncertainty inherent in short-range temperature predictions, where official measurements from the Indonesian Agency for Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics rarely deviate once preliminary reports are issued. Only an unforeseen late-day spike or measurement revision could alter the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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