Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models project daytime highs in Jinan of 29–30°C on August 29, driven by lingering warm, moist air under partly cloudy skies with only light northeast winds and limited precipitation. This consensus across multiple runs supports the market's 96.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Realistic challenges remain narrow—such as an unforecast surge in cloud cover or heavier localized rain that could trim the peak by a few degrees—though current guidance shows no such development, and resolution hinges on verified maximum readings from local stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日濟南氣溫最高?
26°C or higher 94%
25°C 6%
24°C 5%
16°C or below <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
6%
26°C or higher
94%
26°C or higher 94%
25°C 6%
24°C 5%
16°C or below <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
6%
26°C or higher
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 28, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models project daytime highs in Jinan of 29–30°C on August 29, driven by lingering warm, moist air under partly cloudy skies with only light northeast winds and limited precipitation. This consensus across multiple runs supports the market's 96.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher. Realistic challenges remain narrow—such as an unforecast surge in cloud cover or heavier localized rain that could trim the peak by a few degrees—though current guidance shows no such development, and resolution hinges on verified maximum readings from local stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions