Current meteorological observations and forecast models from the UK Met Office show London on track for a daily maximum of 18°C on May 17, supported by stable high-pressure systems and light southerly airflow advecting mild continental air under mostly clear skies. Ensemble guidance exhibits tight clustering around this value, consistent with typical May climatology for the region where mean highs range 16–20°C. With resolution approaching and no major synoptic changes forecast in the final hours, traders have coalesced around 18°C as the implied outcome. Only a rapid shift in wind direction or unexpected cloud build-up could realistically alter surface heating enough to move the recorded high outside this narrow band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日倫敦的最高溫度？
5月17日倫敦的最高溫度？
18°C 99.8%
19°C <1%
17°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
$158,634 交易量
$158,634 交易量
2026-05-17
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
18°C 99.8%
19°C <1%
17°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
$158,634 交易量
$158,634 交易量
2026-05-17
10°C or below
$997 交易量
<1%
11°C
$1,915 交易量
<1%
12°C
$8,287 交易量
<1%
13°C
$12,717 交易量
<1%
14°C
$13,308 交易量
<1%
15°C
$19,210 交易量
<1%
16°C
$26,759 交易量
<1%
17°C
$30,362 交易量
<1%
18°C
$19,156 交易量
100%
19°C
$19,322 交易量
<1%
20°C or higher
$6,601 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological observations and forecast models from the UK Met Office show London on track for a daily maximum of 18°C on May 17, supported by stable high-pressure systems and light southerly airflow advecting mild continental air under mostly clear skies. Ensemble guidance exhibits tight clustering around this value, consistent with typical May climatology for the region where mean highs range 16–20°C. With resolution approaching and no major synoptic changes forecast in the final hours, traders have coalesced around 18°C as the implied outcome. Only a rapid shift in wind direction or unexpected cloud build-up could realistically alter surface heating enough to move the recorded high outside this narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$158,634結束日期
2026-05-17市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological observations and forecast models from the UK Met Office show London on track for a daily maximum of 18°C on May 17, supported by stable high-pressure systems and light southerly airflow advecting mild continental air under mostly clear skies. Ensemble guidance exhibits tight clustering around this value, consistent with typical May climatology for the region where mean highs range 16–20°C. With resolution approaching and no major synoptic changes forecast in the final hours, traders have coalesced around 18°C as the implied outcome. Only a rapid shift in wind direction or unexpected cloud build-up could realistically alter surface heating enough to move the recorded high outside this narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$158,634結束日期
2026-05-17市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETCurrent meteorological observations and forecast models from the UK Met Office show London on track for a daily maximum of 18°C on May 17, supported by stable high-pressure systems and light southerly airflow advecting mild continental air under mostly clear skies. Ensemble guidance exhibits tight clustering around this value, consistent with typical May climatology for the region where mean highs range 16–20°C. With resolution approaching and no major synoptic changes forecast in the final hours, traders have coalesced around 18°C as the implied outcome. Only a rapid shift in wind direction or unexpected cloud build-up could realistically alter surface heating enough to move the recorded high outside this narrow band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions