Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C in London on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on that outcome. Mid-May climatology for southeast England supports this range, with observed trends and model agreement leaving minimal room for deviation. Any late-afternoon clearing or minor warm advection could realistically push readings to 19°C, yet the current scientific consensus keeps probabilities for 20°C or higher below 1%. Official Met Office verification of final hourly data will confirm the exact high once the day concludes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日倫敦的最高溫度?
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$166,162 交易量
$166,162 交易量
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$166,162 交易量
$166,162 交易量
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C in London on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on that outcome. Mid-May climatology for southeast England supports this range, with observed trends and model agreement leaving minimal room for deviation. Any late-afternoon clearing or minor warm advection could realistically push readings to 19°C, yet the current scientific consensus keeps probabilities for 20°C or higher below 1%. Official Met Office verification of final hourly data will confirm the exact high once the day concludes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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