Trader positioning overwhelmingly favors a high of 41°C or below in Lucknow today, reflecting the latest India Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble model consensus projecting a maximum near 39°C. Current atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity levels and light winds, are limiting surface heating rates typical for mid-May in the Indo-Gangetic plain. Historical climatological averages place seasonal highs around 40°C, consistent with the observed stability in official forecasts. While model runs show low probability of rapid afternoon intensification, unexpected reductions in cloud cover or localized subsidence could still push readings slightly higher before evening observations finalize the daily maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日勒克瑙的最高溫度?
41°C or below 100.0%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$44,666 交易量
$44,666 交易量
41°C or below
100%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 100.0%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$44,666 交易量
$44,666 交易量
41°C or below
100%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader positioning overwhelmingly favors a high of 41°C or below in Lucknow today, reflecting the latest India Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble model consensus projecting a maximum near 39°C. Current atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity levels and light winds, are limiting surface heating rates typical for mid-May in the Indo-Gangetic plain. Historical climatological averages place seasonal highs around 40°C, consistent with the observed stability in official forecasts. While model runs show low probability of rapid afternoon intensification, unexpected reductions in cloud cover or localized subsidence could still push readings slightly higher before evening observations finalize the daily maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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