The dominant 28°C outcome reflects persistent southwest monsoon activity across Luzon, which has produced widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy rains, and limited solar insolation through August 13. PAGASA observations and forecasts for Metro Manila consistently show daytime maxima near 28–29°C under these conditions, well below the seasonal climatological average of about 31°C, as enhanced moisture and convection suppress surface heating. Trader consensus aligns with this official monitoring data and recent model runs emphasizing continued monsoon influence. A rapid monsoon break or unexpected clearing could allow brief warming toward 30°C, though current atmospheric patterns make such a shift unlikely before the daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月13日馬尼拉的最高溫度?
28°C 98.2%
29°C 3%
31°C <1%
30°C <1%
$36,128 交易量
$36,128 交易量
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
98%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
28°C 98.2%
29°C 3%
31°C <1%
30°C <1%
$36,128 交易量
$36,128 交易量
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
98%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The dominant 28°C outcome reflects persistent southwest monsoon activity across Luzon, which has produced widespread cloud cover, scattered to heavy rains, and limited solar insolation through August 13. PAGASA observations and forecasts for Metro Manila consistently show daytime maxima near 28–29°C under these conditions, well below the seasonal climatological average of about 31°C, as enhanced moisture and convection suppress surface heating. Trader consensus aligns with this official monitoring data and recent model runs emphasizing continued monsoon influence. A rapid monsoon break or unexpected clearing could allow brief warming toward 30°C, though current atmospheric patterns make such a shift unlikely before the daily maximum is recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions