**Trader consensus has coalesced on 28°C as the highest temperature recorded in Manila on August 5, 2026, reflecting official PAGASA measurements amid widespread monsoon rains.** Persistent southwest monsoon activity, enhanced by the remnants of Tropical Cyclone Luis, produced extensive cloud cover and moderate-to-heavy rainfall across Metro Manila, limiting daytime heating. Forecast guidance from PAGASA consistently projected highs near 30°C with 80–90% rain probability, while actual conditions suppressed maxima below climatological August averages of 31°C. This outcome aligns with historical patterns where strong monsoon surges reduce peak temperatures by 2–4°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Only a rapid clearing of skies combined with localized urban heat island effects exceeding model guidance could have pushed readings to 29°C or higher, scenarios rendered improbable by sustained precipitation and verified observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
8月5日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
28°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$26,383 交易量
$26,383 交易量
2026-08-05
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
是
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或更高
否
28°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$26,383 交易量
$26,383 交易量
2026-08-05
22°C或以下
$938 交易量
否
23°C
$267 交易量
否
24°C
$434 交易量
否
25°C
$440 交易量
否
26°C
$1,625 交易量
否
27°C
$2,752 交易量
否
28°C
$5,070 交易量
是
29°C
$6,384 交易量
否
30°C
$3,901 交易量
否
31°C
$2,696 交易量
否
32°C或更高
$1,876 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced on 28°C as the highest temperature recorded in Manila on August 5, 2026, reflecting official PAGASA measurements amid widespread monsoon rains.** Persistent southwest monsoon activity, enhanced by the remnants of Tropical Cyclone Luis, produced extensive cloud cover and moderate-to-heavy rainfall across Metro Manila, limiting daytime heating. Forecast guidance from PAGASA consistently projected highs near 30°C with 80–90% rain probability, while actual conditions suppressed maxima below climatological August averages of 31°C. This outcome aligns with historical patterns where strong monsoon surges reduce peak temperatures by 2–4°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Only a rapid clearing of skies combined with localized urban heat island effects exceeding model guidance could have pushed readings to 29°C or higher, scenarios rendered improbable by sustained precipitation and verified observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 3, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$26,383結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has coalesced on 28°C as the highest temperature recorded in Manila on August 5, 2026, reflecting official PAGASA measurements amid widespread monsoon rains.** Persistent southwest monsoon activity, enhanced by the remnants of Tropical Cyclone Luis, produced extensive cloud cover and moderate-to-heavy rainfall across Metro Manila, limiting daytime heating. Forecast guidance from PAGASA consistently projected highs near 30°C with 80–90% rain probability, while actual conditions suppressed maxima below climatological August averages of 31°C. This outcome aligns with historical patterns where strong monsoon surges reduce peak temperatures by 2–4°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Only a rapid clearing of skies combined with localized urban heat island effects exceeding model guidance could have pushed readings to 29°C or higher, scenarios rendered improbable by sustained precipitation and verified observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$26,383結束日期
2026-08-05市場開放時間
Aug 3, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus has coalesced on 28°C as the highest temperature recorded in Manila on August 5, 2026, reflecting official PAGASA measurements amid widespread monsoon rains.** Persistent southwest monsoon activity, enhanced by the remnants of Tropical Cyclone Luis, produced extensive cloud cover and moderate-to-heavy rainfall across Metro Manila, limiting daytime heating. Forecast guidance from PAGASA consistently projected highs near 30°C with 80–90% rain probability, while actual conditions suppressed maxima below climatological August averages of 31°C. This outcome aligns with historical patterns where strong monsoon surges reduce peak temperatures by 2–4°C through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling. Only a rapid clearing of skies combined with localized urban heat island effects exceeding model guidance could have pushed readings to 29°C or higher, scenarios rendered improbable by sustained precipitation and verified observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions