Official Environment Canada forecasts call for sunny skies over Toronto on August 5 with fog clearing early, producing a daytime high of 29°C and humidex values near 35 under strong August insolation. This exceeds the 27°C climatological normal and aligns with recent model consensus showing stable high pressure and light southerly flow limiting cooling. Traders have priced 29°C as the mode at 45.5% implied probability, with 28°C and 30°C capturing residual uncertainty from urban heat-island effects, exact measurement timing at Pearson Airport versus downtown, and minor forecast revisions possible before sunset. No significant model shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours to alter this central outlook.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日多倫多氣溫最高?
29°C 47%
28°C 28%
30°C 16%
27°C 5%
$15,361 交易量
$15,361 交易量
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
28%
29°C
47%
30°C
16%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 47%
28°C 28%
30°C 16%
27°C 5%
$15,361 交易量
$15,361 交易量
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
28%
29°C
47%
30°C
16%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 3, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official Environment Canada forecasts call for sunny skies over Toronto on August 5 with fog clearing early, producing a daytime high of 29°C and humidex values near 35 under strong August insolation. This exceeds the 27°C climatological normal and aligns with recent model consensus showing stable high pressure and light southerly flow limiting cooling. Traders have priced 29°C as the mode at 45.5% implied probability, with 28°C and 30°C capturing residual uncertainty from urban heat-island effects, exact measurement timing at Pearson Airport versus downtown, and minor forecast revisions possible before sunset. No significant model shifts have occurred in the past 24 hours to alter this central outlook.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions