Recent PAGASA guidance and supporting numerical weather models indicate a 33–34°C peak for Manila on May 18 under easterly flow and modest moisture levels, driving the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. In Manila’s tropical monsoon climate, afternoon highs during mid-May typically reflect the interplay of solar heating, low-level winds, and boundary-layer humidity, with limited cloud cover allowing temperatures to climb toward seasonal norms near 34°C. Minor shifts in steering patterns or convective development could push readings to 35°C, explaining the near-even implied probabilities, while stronger moisture influx would cap the maximum closer to 33°C. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and official station observations ahead of tomorrow’s resolution based on PAGASA’s official high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月18日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
5月18日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
35°C 31%
34°C 30%
33°C 16%
36°C 10.6%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
3%
33°C
16%
34°C
30%
35°C
31%
36°C
11%
37°C
2%
38°C
1%
39°C或以上
<1%
35°C 31%
34°C 30%
33°C 16%
36°C 10.6%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
29°C或以下
$1,088 交易量
<1%
30°C
$113 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,127 交易量
<1%
32°C
$999 交易量
3%
33°C
$804 交易量
16%
34°C
$531 交易量
30%
35°C
$306 交易量
31%
36°C
$1,047 交易量
11%
37°C
$426 交易量
2%
38°C
$368 交易量
1%
39°C或以上
$305 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent PAGASA guidance and supporting numerical weather models indicate a 33–34°C peak for Manila on May 18 under easterly flow and modest moisture levels, driving the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. In Manila’s tropical monsoon climate, afternoon highs during mid-May typically reflect the interplay of solar heating, low-level winds, and boundary-layer humidity, with limited cloud cover allowing temperatures to climb toward seasonal norms near 34°C. Minor shifts in steering patterns or convective development could push readings to 35°C, explaining the near-even implied probabilities, while stronger moisture influx would cap the maximum closer to 33°C. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and official station observations ahead of tomorrow’s resolution based on PAGASA’s official high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$7,114結束日期
2026-05-18市場開放時間
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent PAGASA guidance and supporting numerical weather models indicate a 33–34°C peak for Manila on May 18 under easterly flow and modest moisture levels, driving the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. In Manila’s tropical monsoon climate, afternoon highs during mid-May typically reflect the interplay of solar heating, low-level winds, and boundary-layer humidity, with limited cloud cover allowing temperatures to climb toward seasonal norms near 34°C. Minor shifts in steering patterns or convective development could push readings to 35°C, explaining the near-even implied probabilities, while stronger moisture influx would cap the maximum closer to 33°C. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and official station observations ahead of tomorrow’s resolution based on PAGASA’s official high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$7,114結束日期
2026-05-18市場開放時間
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETRecent PAGASA guidance and supporting numerical weather models indicate a 33–34°C peak for Manila on May 18 under easterly flow and modest moisture levels, driving the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. In Manila’s tropical monsoon climate, afternoon highs during mid-May typically reflect the interplay of solar heating, low-level winds, and boundary-layer humidity, with limited cloud cover allowing temperatures to climb toward seasonal norms near 34°C. Minor shifts in steering patterns or convective development could push readings to 35°C, explaining the near-even implied probabilities, while stronger moisture influx would cap the maximum closer to 33°C. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus and official station observations ahead of tomorrow’s resolution based on PAGASA’s official high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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