Current forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and AccuWeather project a daily maximum of 27–29 °C in Mexico City on May 17 under persistent high-pressure ridging and mostly clear skies that favor strong solar heating. Recent observations from May 14–15 already reached 26–29 °C, consistent with May climatology where average highs hover near 26 °C and occasional peaks exceed 30 °C when subsidence suppresses cloud cover. Model consensus indicates limited afternoon convection, though isolated showers remain possible and could briefly reduce insolation without widespread overcast conditions. Final hourly readings at official stations will determine resolution, leaving only narrow pathways—such as unexpected widespread cloud buildup or a rapid frontal passage—for temperatures to remain below the 26 °C threshold implied by the 98.8 % market odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於墨西哥城5月17日的最高溫度？
墨西哥城5月17日的最高溫度？
26°C or higher 98.6%
25°C 1.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
最新
$20,626 交易量
最新
$20,626 交易量
2026-05-17
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 98.6%
25°C 1.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
最新
$20,626 交易量
最新
$20,626 交易量
2026-05-17
16°C or below
$1,761 交易量
<1%
17°C
$2,494 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,954 交易量
<1%
19°C
$3,561 交易量
<1%
20°C
$1,126 交易量
<1%
21°C
$1,424 交易量
<1%
22°C
$2,009 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,391 交易量
1%
24°C
$1,438 交易量
1%
25°C
$1,911 交易量
1%
26°C or higher
$1,557 交易量
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and AccuWeather project a daily maximum of 27–29 °C in Mexico City on May 17 under persistent high-pressure ridging and mostly clear skies that favor strong solar heating. Recent observations from May 14–15 already reached 26–29 °C, consistent with May climatology where average highs hover near 26 °C and occasional peaks exceed 30 °C when subsidence suppresses cloud cover. Model consensus indicates limited afternoon convection, though isolated showers remain possible and could briefly reduce insolation without widespread overcast conditions. Final hourly readings at official stations will determine resolution, leaving only narrow pathways—such as unexpected widespread cloud buildup or a rapid frontal passage—for temperatures to remain below the 26 °C threshold implied by the 98.8 % market odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$20,626結束日期
2026-05-17市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and AccuWeather project a daily maximum of 27–29 °C in Mexico City on May 17 under persistent high-pressure ridging and mostly clear skies that favor strong solar heating. Recent observations from May 14–15 already reached 26–29 °C, consistent with May climatology where average highs hover near 26 °C and occasional peaks exceed 30 °C when subsidence suppresses cloud cover. Model consensus indicates limited afternoon convection, though isolated showers remain possible and could briefly reduce insolation without widespread overcast conditions. Final hourly readings at official stations will determine resolution, leaving only narrow pathways—such as unexpected widespread cloud buildup or a rapid frontal passage—for temperatures to remain below the 26 °C threshold implied by the 98.8 % market odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$20,626結束日期
2026-05-17市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETCurrent forecasts from Mexico’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and AccuWeather project a daily maximum of 27–29 °C in Mexico City on May 17 under persistent high-pressure ridging and mostly clear skies that favor strong solar heating. Recent observations from May 14–15 already reached 26–29 °C, consistent with May climatology where average highs hover near 26 °C and occasional peaks exceed 30 °C when subsidence suppresses cloud cover. Model consensus indicates limited afternoon convection, though isolated showers remain possible and could briefly reduce insolation without widespread overcast conditions. Final hourly readings at official stations will determine resolution, leaving only narrow pathways—such as unexpected widespread cloud buildup or a rapid frontal passage—for temperatures to remain below the 26 °C threshold implied by the 98.8 % market odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions