Recent National Weather Service model runs from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM ensembles point to a peak temperature of 85–88 °F at LaGuardia Airport under mostly clear skies that enhance solar heating and surface warming. This narrow range underpins the market’s close contest between the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F bins, which together hold over 80 % of implied probability. Subtle variations in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation timing create the remaining spread, while typical late-May climatology for the region supports the current trader consensus. Final resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum observation, with any last-minute cloud cover or wind shifts capable of shifting outcomes within the tightly clustered probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於紐約市5月17日的最高溫度？
紐約市5月17日的最高溫度？
88-89°F 49%
86-87°F 34%
90-91°F 15.6%
84-85°F 3.5%
$80,565 交易量
$80,565 交易量
2026-05-17
華氏79度或以下
<1%
80-81華氏度
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
34%
88-89°F
49%
90-91°F
16%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
華氏98度或更高
<1%
88-89°F 49%
86-87°F 34%
90-91°F 15.6%
84-85°F 3.5%
$80,565 交易量
$80,565 交易量
2026-05-17
華氏79度或以下
$11,591 交易量
<1%
80-81華氏度
$12,019 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$8,300 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$8,874 交易量
3%
86-87°F
$8,188 交易量
34%
88-89°F
$6,195 交易量
49%
90-91°F
$8,492 交易量
16%
92-93°F
$6,477 交易量
1%
94-95°F
$4,868 交易量
<1%
96-97°F
$4,235 交易量
<1%
華氏98度或更高
$3,168 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service model runs from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM ensembles point to a peak temperature of 85–88 °F at LaGuardia Airport under mostly clear skies that enhance solar heating and surface warming. This narrow range underpins the market’s close contest between the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F bins, which together hold over 80 % of implied probability. Subtle variations in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation timing create the remaining spread, while typical late-May climatology for the region supports the current trader consensus. Final resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum observation, with any last-minute cloud cover or wind shifts capable of shifting outcomes within the tightly clustered probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$80,565結束日期
2026-05-17市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service model runs from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM ensembles point to a peak temperature of 85–88 °F at LaGuardia Airport under mostly clear skies that enhance solar heating and surface warming. This narrow range underpins the market’s close contest between the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F bins, which together hold over 80 % of implied probability. Subtle variations in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation timing create the remaining spread, while typical late-May climatology for the region supports the current trader consensus. Final resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum observation, with any last-minute cloud cover or wind shifts capable of shifting outcomes within the tightly clustered probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$80,565結束日期
2026-05-17市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent National Weather Service model runs from the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM ensembles point to a peak temperature of 85–88 °F at LaGuardia Airport under mostly clear skies that enhance solar heating and surface warming. This narrow range underpins the market’s close contest between the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F bins, which together hold over 80 % of implied probability. Subtle variations in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and exact insolation timing create the remaining spread, while typical late-May climatology for the region supports the current trader consensus. Final resolution will hinge on the official daily maximum observation, with any last-minute cloud cover or wind shifts capable of shifting outcomes within the tightly clustered probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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