National Weather Service model ensembles, including the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, currently point to peak temperatures of 85–88 °F at LaGuardia Airport under mostly clear skies that maximize solar insolation and surface heating. Subtle differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and the precise timing of peak insolation create a narrow spread favoring the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F bins, which together capture over 80 % of trader-implied probability. These outcomes align with climatological norms for mid-May in the New York metro area, where high-pressure dominance typically supports warm, dry afternoons without significant moisture or cloud cover to limit warming. Updated model runs through the evening will refine the final high before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於紐約市5月17日的最高溫度？
紐約市5月17日的最高溫度？
88-89°F 45%
86-87°F 41%
90-91°F 15.4%
84-85°F 5.3%
$77,895 交易量
$77,895 交易量
2026-05-17
華氏79度或以下
<1%
80-81華氏度
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
41%
88-89°F
45%
90-91°F
15%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
華氏98度或更高
<1%
88-89°F 45%
86-87°F 41%
90-91°F 15.4%
84-85°F 5.3%
$77,895 交易量
$77,895 交易量
2026-05-17
華氏79度或以下
$11,591 交易量
<1%
80-81華氏度
$11,995 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$8,273 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$8,559 交易量
5%
86-87°F
$7,915 交易量
41%
88-89°F
$5,937 交易量
45%
90-91°F
$8,049 交易量
15%
92-93°F
$6,199 交易量
1%
94-95°F
$4,719 交易量
<1%
96-97°F
$4,086 交易量
<1%
華氏98度或更高
$3,165 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service model ensembles, including the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, currently point to peak temperatures of 85–88 °F at LaGuardia Airport under mostly clear skies that maximize solar insolation and surface heating. Subtle differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and the precise timing of peak insolation create a narrow spread favoring the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F bins, which together capture over 80 % of trader-implied probability. These outcomes align with climatological norms for mid-May in the New York metro area, where high-pressure dominance typically supports warm, dry afternoons without significant moisture or cloud cover to limit warming. Updated model runs through the evening will refine the final high before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$77,895結束日期
2026-05-17市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service model ensembles, including the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, currently point to peak temperatures of 85–88 °F at LaGuardia Airport under mostly clear skies that maximize solar insolation and surface heating. Subtle differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and the precise timing of peak insolation create a narrow spread favoring the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F bins, which together capture over 80 % of trader-implied probability. These outcomes align with climatological norms for mid-May in the New York metro area, where high-pressure dominance typically supports warm, dry afternoons without significant moisture or cloud cover to limit warming. Updated model runs through the evening will refine the final high before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$77,895結束日期
2026-05-17市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETNational Weather Service model ensembles, including the GFS, ECMWF, and NAM, currently point to peak temperatures of 85–88 °F at LaGuardia Airport under mostly clear skies that maximize solar insolation and surface heating. Subtle differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and the precise timing of peak insolation create a narrow spread favoring the 86–87 °F and 88–89 °F bins, which together capture over 80 % of trader-implied probability. These outcomes align with climatological norms for mid-May in the New York metro area, where high-pressure dominance typically supports warm, dry afternoons without significant moisture or cloud cover to limit warming. Updated model runs through the evening will refine the final high before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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