Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office and local monitoring points to a daytime high near 31–32°C in Panama City on August 23, with afternoon convection and thunderstorm activity the dominant limiter. Persistent high humidity, light northwest winds, and typical ITCZ-driven cloud build-up in the rainy season frequently cap peaks through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, explaining why 33°C+ carries only 4% implied probability. Latest runs show minor spread in storm timing and coverage that could tip the maximum between 30°C and 32°C, aligning with the closely matched 39% and 30% odds on those outcomes. Updated guidance from regional agencies ahead of the peak heating window will refine the exact threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日巴拿馬城的最高溫度？
8月23日巴拿馬城的最高溫度？
31°C 39%
32°C 30%
30°C 16%
29°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
24°C或以下
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
10%
30°C
16%
31°C
39%
32°C
30%
33°C
4%
34°C或更高
4%
31°C 39%
32°C 30%
30°C 16%
29°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
24°C或以下
$0 交易量
1%
25°C
$0 交易量
1%
26°C
$0 交易量
1%
27°C
$0 交易量
1%
28°C
$11 交易量
6%
29°C
$2 交易量
10%
30°C
$0 交易量
16%
31°C
$18 交易量
39%
32°C
$27 交易量
30%
33°C
$0 交易量
4%
34°C或更高
$45 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office and local monitoring points to a daytime high near 31–32°C in Panama City on August 23, with afternoon convection and thunderstorm activity the dominant limiter. Persistent high humidity, light northwest winds, and typical ITCZ-driven cloud build-up in the rainy season frequently cap peaks through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, explaining why 33°C+ carries only 4% implied probability. Latest runs show minor spread in storm timing and coverage that could tip the maximum between 30°C and 32°C, aligning with the closely matched 39% and 30% odds on those outcomes. Updated guidance from regional agencies ahead of the peak heating window will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
交易量
$104結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including the Met Office and local monitoring points to a daytime high near 31–32°C in Panama City on August 23, with afternoon convection and thunderstorm activity the dominant limiter. Persistent high humidity, light northwest winds, and typical ITCZ-driven cloud build-up in the rainy season frequently cap peaks through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, explaining why 33°C+ carries only 4% implied probability. Latest runs show minor spread in storm timing and coverage that could tip the maximum between 30°C and 32°C, aligning with the closely matched 39% and 30% odds on those outcomes. Updated guidance from regional agencies ahead of the peak heating window will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$104結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETRecent model consensus from sources including the Met Office and local monitoring points to a daytime high near 31–32°C in Panama City on August 23, with afternoon convection and thunderstorm activity the dominant limiter. Persistent high humidity, light northwest winds, and typical ITCZ-driven cloud build-up in the rainy season frequently cap peaks through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, explaining why 33°C+ carries only 4% implied probability. Latest runs show minor spread in storm timing and coverage that could tip the maximum between 30°C and 32°C, aligning with the closely matched 39% and 30% odds on those outcomes. Updated guidance from regional agencies ahead of the peak heating window will refine the exact threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions