Traders have converged on 31°C as the highest temperature recorded in Panama City on August 5 because official meteorological observations from regional weather stations aligned with model consensus and historical August baselines for the isthmus. In Panama’s tropical maritime climate, daytime highs typically range 30–32°C during the wet season under prevailing trade winds and high humidity, with 31°C falling squarely within normal variability rather than an extreme. Recent satellite and surface data showed stable atmospheric conditions without significant cloud cover or rainfall that would suppress maxima. While forecast uncertainty exists in tropical regions due to localized convection, the post-event verification leaves little room for revision unless an alternative station reports a meaningfully different value or data quality issues arise.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月5日巴拿馬城的最高溫度?
31°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$18,820 交易量
$18,820 交易量
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
<1%
31°C 100.0%
26°C或以下 <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$18,820 交易量
$18,820 交易量
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 3, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders have converged on 31°C as the highest temperature recorded in Panama City on August 5 because official meteorological observations from regional weather stations aligned with model consensus and historical August baselines for the isthmus. In Panama’s tropical maritime climate, daytime highs typically range 30–32°C during the wet season under prevailing trade winds and high humidity, with 31°C falling squarely within normal variability rather than an extreme. Recent satellite and surface data showed stable atmospheric conditions without significant cloud cover or rainfall that would suppress maxima. While forecast uncertainty exists in tropical regions due to localized convection, the post-event verification leaves little room for revision unless an alternative station reports a meaningfully different value or data quality issues arise.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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