Latest ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF models indicates Panama City will likely reach or exceed 33 °C on May 17 under a dry continental air mass advected from northern Central America combined with peak May solar insolation. This setup favors strong daytime heating with limited cloud cover and suppressed convection from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, pushing maximum temperatures into the upper 32–35 °C range at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport. Historical May climatology shows average daily highs of 31–34 °C in the tropical lowland environment, providing a warm baseline that reinforces the market-implied 70 % probability for the 33 °C or higher outcome. Any increase in morning cloudiness or earlier shower development could cap readings at 32 °C, yet current model consensus and light northwest winds support the leading probability. Hourly METAR observations through the afternoon will confirm the final maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日巴拿馬城的最高溫度？
5月17日巴拿馬城的最高溫度？
33°C or higher 70%
32°C 24%
31°C 8%
30°C 2.1%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
8%
32°C
24%
33°C or higher
70%
33°C or higher 70%
32°C 24%
31°C 8%
30°C 2.1%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
23°C or below
$379 交易量
<1%
24°C
$327 交易量
<1%
25°C
$527 交易量
1%
26°C
$614 交易量
<1%
27°C
$566 交易量
<1%
28°C
$374 交易量
1%
29°C
$498 交易量
1%
30°C
$1,052 交易量
2%
31°C
$1,124 交易量
8%
32°C
$422 交易量
24%
33°C or higher
$838 交易量
70%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF models indicates Panama City will likely reach or exceed 33 °C on May 17 under a dry continental air mass advected from northern Central America combined with peak May solar insolation. This setup favors strong daytime heating with limited cloud cover and suppressed convection from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, pushing maximum temperatures into the upper 32–35 °C range at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport. Historical May climatology shows average daily highs of 31–34 °C in the tropical lowland environment, providing a warm baseline that reinforces the market-implied 70 % probability for the 33 °C or higher outcome. Any increase in morning cloudiness or earlier shower development could cap readings at 32 °C, yet current model consensus and light northwest winds support the leading probability. Hourly METAR observations through the afternoon will confirm the final maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$6,722結束日期
2026-05-17市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF models indicates Panama City will likely reach or exceed 33 °C on May 17 under a dry continental air mass advected from northern Central America combined with peak May solar insolation. This setup favors strong daytime heating with limited cloud cover and suppressed convection from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, pushing maximum temperatures into the upper 32–35 °C range at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport. Historical May climatology shows average daily highs of 31–34 °C in the tropical lowland environment, providing a warm baseline that reinforces the market-implied 70 % probability for the 33 °C or higher outcome. Any increase in morning cloudiness or earlier shower development could cap readings at 32 °C, yet current model consensus and light northwest winds support the leading probability. Hourly METAR observations through the afternoon will confirm the final maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$6,722結束日期
2026-05-17市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETLatest ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF models indicates Panama City will likely reach or exceed 33 °C on May 17 under a dry continental air mass advected from northern Central America combined with peak May solar insolation. This setup favors strong daytime heating with limited cloud cover and suppressed convection from the Intertropical Convergence Zone, pushing maximum temperatures into the upper 32–35 °C range at Marcos A. Gelabert International Airport. Historical May climatology shows average daily highs of 31–34 °C in the tropical lowland environment, providing a warm baseline that reinforces the market-implied 70 % probability for the 33 °C or higher outcome. Any increase in morning cloudiness or earlier shower development could cap readings at 32 °C, yet current model consensus and light northwest winds support the leading probability. Hourly METAR observations through the afternoon will confirm the final maximum.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions