Trader consensus strongly favors a daily high of 33°C or higher in Panama City on May 17, driven by persistent atmospheric conditions including weak trade winds, high solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover that have elevated surface temperatures across the isthmus. Recent model runs from regional meteorological agencies show consensus on peak readings in the mid-30s Celsius, consistent with climatological norms for mid-May when the Intertropical Convergence Zone remains north of the region and daytime heating peaks. This positioning reflects real-time observational data from ground stations confirming rapid warming through the morning hours. Unlikely shifts such as sudden convective development or an unforecast frontal passage could cap the high below 33°C, though current guidance indicates low probability of such cooling influences before evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日巴拿馬城的最高溫度?
33°C or higher 99.6%
32°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$23,815 交易量
$23,815 交易量
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
100%
33°C or higher 99.6%
32°C <1%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
$23,815 交易量
$23,815 交易量
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus strongly favors a daily high of 33°C or higher in Panama City on May 17, driven by persistent atmospheric conditions including weak trade winds, high solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover that have elevated surface temperatures across the isthmus. Recent model runs from regional meteorological agencies show consensus on peak readings in the mid-30s Celsius, consistent with climatological norms for mid-May when the Intertropical Convergence Zone remains north of the region and daytime heating peaks. This positioning reflects real-time observational data from ground stations confirming rapid warming through the morning hours. Unlikely shifts such as sudden convective development or an unforecast frontal passage could cap the high below 33°C, though current guidance indicates low probability of such cooling influences before evening.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions