Recent forecast models from Météo-France and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Paris reaching a daily maximum of 16°C on May 17 under mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and minimal solar heating. This aligns with the cool, unsettled pattern persisting through mid-May, where daytime highs have remained 2–4°C below seasonal averages near 18–20°C. Official observations from central Paris stations continue to track within the 15–16°C range through afternoon hours, leaving little room for deviation. The market’s near-certainty on 16°C reflects these converging model runs and real-time data, though a brief late-day clearing or slight wind shift could push readings to 17°C before final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日巴黎最高溫度?
16°C 99.8%
18°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
$130,536 交易量
$130,536 交易量
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 99.8%
18°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
$130,536 交易量
$130,536 交易量
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecast models from Météo-France and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show Paris reaching a daily maximum of 16°C on May 17 under mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and minimal solar heating. This aligns with the cool, unsettled pattern persisting through mid-May, where daytime highs have remained 2–4°C below seasonal averages near 18–20°C. Official observations from central Paris stations continue to track within the 15–16°C range through afternoon hours, leaving little room for deviation. The market’s near-certainty on 16°C reflects these converging model runs and real-time data, though a brief late-day clearing or slight wind shift could push readings to 17°C before final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions