Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting European model consensus point to a highest temperature of 16°C in Paris on May 17, driven by a stable cool air mass, persistent cloud cover, and light northerly winds that have suppressed daytime warming. These conditions align with mid-May climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 18°C but can dip lower under overcast skies and weak solar heating. Current observations through the morning already show temperatures climbing only gradually from overnight lows near 8–10°C, reinforcing trader confidence in the 16°C bracket. A sudden clearing trend or stronger southerly flow could still allow a late-afternoon push toward 17°C or 18°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given the locked-in synoptic pattern.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日巴黎最高溫度?
16°C 99.8%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
$129,697 交易量
$129,697 交易量
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
100%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 99.8%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
10°C or below <1%
$129,697 交易量
$129,697 交易量
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
100%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent official forecasts from Météo-France and supporting European model consensus point to a highest temperature of 16°C in Paris on May 17, driven by a stable cool air mass, persistent cloud cover, and light northerly winds that have suppressed daytime warming. These conditions align with mid-May climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 18°C but can dip lower under overcast skies and weak solar heating. Current observations through the morning already show temperatures climbing only gradually from overnight lows near 8–10°C, reinforcing trader confidence in the 16°C bracket. A sudden clearing trend or stronger southerly flow could still allow a late-afternoon push toward 17°C or 18°C, though such shifts appear unlikely given the locked-in synoptic pattern.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions