Official observations from San Francisco International Airport confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 66–67°F on May 16, aligning with National Weather Service records and driving the market’s near-certain outcome for that bin. Persistent onshore marine-layer advection from the Pacific maintained stratus coverage and limited afternoon heating, consistent with typical May climatology near 67°F yet tempered by moderate westerly winds of 15–25 mph that prevented any significant offshore warming. Historical analogs and model consensus had positioned this range as the most probable resolution window. The only realistic challenges would involve a post-event data revision from the primary station or an unprecedented reporting discrepancy, both of which remain statistically rare given standardized measurement protocols.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 16?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 16?
66-67°F 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$32,336 交易量
$32,336 交易量
2026-05-16
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68°F or higher
No
66-67°F 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$32,336 交易量
$32,336 交易量
2026-05-16
49°F or below
$2,510 交易量
No
50-51°F
$860 交易量
No
52-53°F
$770 交易量
No
54-55°F
$2,189 交易量
No
56-57°F
$1,065 交易量
No
58-59°F
$2,515 交易量
No
60-61°F
$3,733 交易量
No
62-63°F
$5,556 交易量
No
64-65°F
$3,259 交易量
No
66-67°F
$5,300 交易量
Yes
68°F or higher
$4,579 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from San Francisco International Airport confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 66–67°F on May 16, aligning with National Weather Service records and driving the market’s near-certain outcome for that bin. Persistent onshore marine-layer advection from the Pacific maintained stratus coverage and limited afternoon heating, consistent with typical May climatology near 67°F yet tempered by moderate westerly winds of 15–25 mph that prevented any significant offshore warming. Historical analogs and model consensus had positioned this range as the most probable resolution window. The only realistic challenges would involve a post-event data revision from the primary station or an unprecedented reporting discrepancy, both of which remain statistically rare given standardized measurement protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
交易量
$32,336結束日期
2026-05-16市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from San Francisco International Airport confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 66–67°F on May 16, aligning with National Weather Service records and driving the market’s near-certain outcome for that bin. Persistent onshore marine-layer advection from the Pacific maintained stratus coverage and limited afternoon heating, consistent with typical May climatology near 67°F yet tempered by moderate westerly winds of 15–25 mph that prevented any significant offshore warming. Historical analogs and model consensus had positioned this range as the most probable resolution window. The only realistic challenges would involve a post-event data revision from the primary station or an unprecedented reporting discrepancy, both of which remain statistically rare given standardized measurement protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$32,336結束日期
2026-05-16市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from San Francisco International Airport confirmed a daily maximum temperature of 66–67°F on May 16, aligning with National Weather Service records and driving the market’s near-certain outcome for that bin. Persistent onshore marine-layer advection from the Pacific maintained stratus coverage and limited afternoon heating, consistent with typical May climatology near 67°F yet tempered by moderate westerly winds of 15–25 mph that prevented any significant offshore warming. Historical analogs and model consensus had positioned this range as the most probable resolution window. The only realistic challenges would involve a post-event data revision from the primary station or an unprecedented reporting discrepancy, both of which remain statistically rare given standardized measurement protocols.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions