Official INMET observational data from São Paulo stations, including Mirante and Congonhas, confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 20°C on May 12, 2026, aligning with trader consensus at near-certainty. This outcome stems from persistent cold advection following the season's first intense polar air mass, which suppressed daytime heating through widespread cloud cover and northerly steering patterns, as forecasted by INMET and CPTEC/INPE models. Typical May highs average 22–23°C, but analogs from prior cold snaps support this positioning. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data corrections from manual audits or inter-station discrepancies, though automated records provide robust evidence amid low model uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 12?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 12?
20°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$77,679 交易量
$77,679 交易量
2026-05-12
19°C or below
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$77,679 交易量
$77,679 交易量
2026-05-12
19°C or below
$25,870 交易量
No
20°C
$10,984 交易量
Yes
21°C
$5,530 交易量
No
22°C
$4,360 交易量
No
23°C
$4,293 交易量
No
24°C
$3,626 交易量
No
25°C
$6,135 交易量
No
26°C
$5,751 交易量
No
27°C
$5,070 交易量
No
28°C
$2,766 交易量
No
29°C or higher
$3,294 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official INMET observational data from São Paulo stations, including Mirante and Congonhas, confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 20°C on May 12, 2026, aligning with trader consensus at near-certainty. This outcome stems from persistent cold advection following the season's first intense polar air mass, which suppressed daytime heating through widespread cloud cover and northerly steering patterns, as forecasted by INMET and CPTEC/INPE models. Typical May highs average 22–23°C, but analogs from prior cold snaps support this positioning. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data corrections from manual audits or inter-station discrepancies, though automated records provide robust evidence amid low model uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 10, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
交易量
$77,679結束日期
2026-05-12市場開放時間
May 10, 2026, 12:21 AM ET已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official INMET observational data from São Paulo stations, including Mirante and Congonhas, confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 20°C on May 12, 2026, aligning with trader consensus at near-certainty. This outcome stems from persistent cold advection following the season's first intense polar air mass, which suppressed daytime heating through widespread cloud cover and northerly steering patterns, as forecasted by INMET and CPTEC/INPE models. Typical May highs average 22–23°C, but analogs from prior cold snaps support this positioning. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data corrections from manual audits or inter-station discrepancies, though automated records provide robust evidence amid low model uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$77,679結束日期
2026-05-12市場開放時間
May 10, 2026, 12:21 AM ET已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
Official INMET observational data from São Paulo stations, including Mirante and Congonhas, confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 20°C on May 12, 2026, aligning with trader consensus at near-certainty. This outcome stems from persistent cold advection following the season's first intense polar air mass, which suppressed daytime heating through widespread cloud cover and northerly steering patterns, as forecasted by INMET and CPTEC/INPE models. Typical May highs average 22–23°C, but analogs from prior cold snaps support this positioning. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data corrections from manual audits or inter-station discrepancies, though automated records provide robust evidence amid low model uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions