Current meteorological models and observational data position a maximum of 22°C as the most probable outcome for São Paulo on May 17, reflecting typical late-autumn conditions with daytime highs averaging 22–23°C. Stable high-pressure systems and moderate humidity levels have limited convective activity, keeping temperatures from exceeding seasonal norms or dropping sharply overnight. Recent model consensus from global ensembles shows minimal day-to-day variability, with wind patterns favoring gradual warming rather than rapid shifts. Traders’ heavy weighting toward 22°C captures this steady baseline, while the modest probability for 23°C or higher accounts for any localized urban heat effects or slight forecast adjustments before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日聖保羅的最高溫度?
22°C 77.0%
23°C or higher 26%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$51,530 交易量
$51,530 交易量
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
77%
23°C or higher
26%
22°C 77.0%
23°C or higher 26%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$51,530 交易量
$51,530 交易量
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
77%
23°C or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current meteorological models and observational data position a maximum of 22°C as the most probable outcome for São Paulo on May 17, reflecting typical late-autumn conditions with daytime highs averaging 22–23°C. Stable high-pressure systems and moderate humidity levels have limited convective activity, keeping temperatures from exceeding seasonal norms or dropping sharply overnight. Recent model consensus from global ensembles shows minimal day-to-day variability, with wind patterns favoring gradual warming rather than rapid shifts. Traders’ heavy weighting toward 22°C captures this steady baseline, while the modest probability for 23°C or higher accounts for any localized urban heat effects or slight forecast adjustments before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions