Recent atmospheric conditions and forecast models from Brazilian meteorological agencies show stable high-pressure systems over Sao Paulo, limiting daytime warming and positioning a maximum of 22°C as the most likely outcome. Seasonal May patterns, with average highs near this level, align with current observations of moderate temperatures and minimal frontal activity that could drive further increases. Trader consensus reflects this consensus data, though slight upward revisions in model runs could support the smaller probability for 23°C or higher before daily resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日聖保羅的最高溫度?
22°C 77.8%
23°C or higher 21%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$54,603 交易量
$54,603 交易量
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
78%
23°C or higher
21%
22°C 77.8%
23°C or higher 21%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$54,603 交易量
$54,603 交易量
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
78%
23°C or higher
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent atmospheric conditions and forecast models from Brazilian meteorological agencies show stable high-pressure systems over Sao Paulo, limiting daytime warming and positioning a maximum of 22°C as the most likely outcome. Seasonal May patterns, with average highs near this level, align with current observations of moderate temperatures and minimal frontal activity that could drive further increases. Trader consensus reflects this consensus data, though slight upward revisions in model runs could support the smaller probability for 23°C or higher before daily resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions