Current National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts indicate a high of 63–67°F for Seattle on May 19, driven by a stable ridge of high pressure and seasonal warming that has produced above-normal temperatures across western Washington. Ensemble model consensus from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts shows minimal spread, with no significant cold-air advection or marine-layer strengthening expected through the period. Historical climatology places mid-May highs near 65°F, reinforcing the market-implied 96.6% probability for 58°F or higher. A late-arriving marine push or unexpected frontal passage could lower readings into the mid-50s, but such shifts appear unlikely given the current 48-hour outlook.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月19日西雅圖的最高溫度?
58°F或更高 96.6%
56-57°F 1.8%
54-55°F 1.1%
52-53°F <1%
華氏39度或以下
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
2%
58°F或更高
97%
58°F或更高 96.6%
56-57°F 1.8%
54-55°F 1.1%
52-53°F <1%
華氏39度或以下
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
2%
58°F或更高
97%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current National Weather Service and NOAA forecasts indicate a high of 63–67°F for Seattle on May 19, driven by a stable ridge of high pressure and seasonal warming that has produced above-normal temperatures across western Washington. Ensemble model consensus from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts shows minimal spread, with no significant cold-air advection or marine-layer strengthening expected through the period. Historical climatology places mid-May highs near 65°F, reinforcing the market-implied 96.6% probability for 58°F or higher. A late-arriving marine push or unexpected frontal passage could lower readings into the mid-50s, but such shifts appear unlikely given the current 48-hour outlook.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions