Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a mild late-spring day in Seoul on May 18, with clear skies, daytime heating, and light southwesterly winds supporting a maximum temperature of 25°C or higher. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average highs typically reach 23–26°C as northerly air masses retreat and daylight lengthens. Ensemble models show limited spread, with any modest cooling to 24°C hinging on increased afternoon cloud cover or a wind shift, while warmer scenarios remain possible if boundary-layer mixing strengthens. Traders have priced the 25°C-or-higher outcome at 81.5% implied probability, reflecting the consensus guidance ahead of tomorrow’s official reading at the Incheon station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月18日首爾最高溫度?
25°C or higher 82%
24°C 16%
23°C 1.3%
22°C <1%
$83,399 交易量
$83,399 交易量
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
16%
25°C or higher
82%
25°C or higher 82%
24°C 16%
23°C 1.3%
22°C <1%
$83,399 交易量
$83,399 交易量
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
16%
25°C or higher
82%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration point to a mild late-spring day in Seoul on May 18, with clear skies, daytime heating, and light southwesterly winds supporting a maximum temperature of 25°C or higher. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average highs typically reach 23–26°C as northerly air masses retreat and daylight lengthens. Ensemble models show limited spread, with any modest cooling to 24°C hinging on increased afternoon cloud cover or a wind shift, while warmer scenarios remain possible if boundary-layer mixing strengthens. Traders have priced the 25°C-or-higher outcome at 81.5% implied probability, reflecting the consensus guidance ahead of tomorrow’s official reading at the Incheon station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions