Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Seoul point to a typical mid-May diurnal warming cycle under transitional spring conditions, with ensemble models converging on a daily maximum in the 23–25 °C range. Light southerly flow ahead of a weak trough is expected to advect modestly warmer air, while variable cloud cover and light winds will limit extreme surface heating. Historical climatology places May 19 averages near 23 °C, and current guidance shows no strong high-pressure ridge or clear-sky anomaly that would push readings to 26 °C or above. Traders are therefore weighting the closely bunched 23–25 °C outcomes, awaiting the final 48-hour model runs and local observations that will determine the precise peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月19日首爾最高溫度?
25°C 25%
26°C 24%
23°C 24%
24°C 21%
18°C或以下
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
12%
23°C
24%
24°C
21%
25°C
28%
26°C
22%
27°C
6%
28°C或更高
3%
25°C 25%
26°C 24%
23°C 24%
24°C 21%
18°C或以下
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
12%
23°C
24%
24°C
21%
25°C
28%
26°C
22%
27°C
6%
28°C或更高
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts for Seoul point to a typical mid-May diurnal warming cycle under transitional spring conditions, with ensemble models converging on a daily maximum in the 23–25 °C range. Light southerly flow ahead of a weak trough is expected to advect modestly warmer air, while variable cloud cover and light winds will limit extreme surface heating. Historical climatology places May 19 averages near 23 °C, and current guidance shows no strong high-pressure ridge or clear-sky anomaly that would push readings to 26 °C or above. Traders are therefore weighting the closely bunched 23–25 °C outcomes, awaiting the final 48-hour model runs and local observations that will determine the precise peak.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions