Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System converge on a daily maximum of 27°C for Shanghai today, supported by persistent high-pressure ridging that favors subsidence warming and light southerly advection of milder maritime air. This setup aligns with mid-May climatological normals of 24–25°C while pushing the reading modestly above average under minimal cloud cover and stable atmospheric conditions. Traders assign near-certainty to the 27°C outcome because official observations at Shanghai Pudong International Airport are expected to fall within that exact threshold. A late-day frontal passage or increased low-level moisture could realistically shift the peak by one or two degrees, though model consensus indicates low likelihood of such disruption before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日上海最高溫度?
27°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$138,527 交易量
$138,527 交易量
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
27°C 100.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$138,527 交易量
$138,527 交易量
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Global Forecast System converge on a daily maximum of 27°C for Shanghai today, supported by persistent high-pressure ridging that favors subsidence warming and light southerly advection of milder maritime air. This setup aligns with mid-May climatological normals of 24–25°C while pushing the reading modestly above average under minimal cloud cover and stable atmospheric conditions. Traders assign near-certainty to the 27°C outcome because official observations at Shanghai Pudong International Airport are expected to fall within that exact threshold. A late-day frontal passage or increased low-level moisture could realistically shift the peak by one or two degrees, though model consensus indicates low likelihood of such disruption before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions