Current forecasts from Singapore's meteorological authorities indicate a daily maximum of 28°C on May 16, supported by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers typical of the inter-monsoon season that reduce incoming solar radiation and limit surface heating. This stable tropical regime produces narrow diurnal temperature ranges near the equator, with ensemble model guidance showing high consistency in suppressing peaks below historical May averages around 31°C. Traders have priced the outcome at essentially 100 percent probability because official observations at primary stations like Changi will almost certainly align with these projections. Clearer skies or delayed rainfall would be required to push readings to 29°C or higher, an outcome models currently assign very low likelihood.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Singapore on May 16?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$96,857 交易量
$96,857 交易量
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$96,857 交易量
$96,857 交易量
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 14, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Current forecasts from Singapore's meteorological authorities indicate a daily maximum of 28°C on May 16, supported by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers typical of the inter-monsoon season that reduce incoming solar radiation and limit surface heating. This stable tropical regime produces narrow diurnal temperature ranges near the equator, with ensemble model guidance showing high consistency in suppressing peaks below historical May averages around 31°C. Traders have priced the outcome at essentially 100 percent probability because official observations at primary stations like Changi will almost certainly align with these projections. Clearer skies or delayed rainfall would be required to push readings to 29°C or higher, an outcome models currently assign very low likelihood.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions