Current surface observations from Taipei's official meteorological stations confirm the daily maximum temperature has reached 31°C, anchoring the market's near-certain implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with late-spring climatology in northern Taiwan, where urban heat-island effects and southerly flow typically produce afternoon peaks in this range under stable atmospheric conditions. With the observation window closing and minimal model divergence in remaining hours, trader consensus reflects the established data trend. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen sharp cooling episode or post-hoc revision from the primary reporting station, though current conditions render such adjustments improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日臺北氣溫最高？
5月17日臺北氣溫最高？
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$111,647 交易量
$111,647 交易量
2026-05-17
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$111,647 交易量
$111,647 交易量
2026-05-17
23°C or below
$1,818 交易量
<1%
24°C
$1,853 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,227 交易量
<1%
26°C
$3,535 交易量
<1%
27°C
$3,351 交易量
<1%
28°C
$5,753 交易量
<1%
29°C
$4,850 交易量
<1%
30°C
$60,918 交易量
<1%
31°C
$8,881 交易量
100%
32°C
$8,046 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$11,416 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current surface observations from Taipei's official meteorological stations confirm the daily maximum temperature has reached 31°C, anchoring the market's near-certain implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with late-spring climatology in northern Taiwan, where urban heat-island effects and southerly flow typically produce afternoon peaks in this range under stable atmospheric conditions. With the observation window closing and minimal model divergence in remaining hours, trader consensus reflects the established data trend. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen sharp cooling episode or post-hoc revision from the primary reporting station, though current conditions render such adjustments improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$111,647結束日期
2026-05-17市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current surface observations from Taipei's official meteorological stations confirm the daily maximum temperature has reached 31°C, anchoring the market's near-certain implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with late-spring climatology in northern Taiwan, where urban heat-island effects and southerly flow typically produce afternoon peaks in this range under stable atmospheric conditions. With the observation window closing and minimal model divergence in remaining hours, trader consensus reflects the established data trend. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen sharp cooling episode or post-hoc revision from the primary reporting station, though current conditions render such adjustments improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$111,647結束日期
2026-05-17市場開放時間
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETCurrent surface observations from Taipei's official meteorological stations confirm the daily maximum temperature has reached 31°C, anchoring the market's near-certain implied probability for this outcome. This aligns with late-spring climatology in northern Taiwan, where urban heat-island effects and southerly flow typically produce afternoon peaks in this range under stable atmospheric conditions. With the observation window closing and minimal model divergence in remaining hours, trader consensus reflects the established data trend. A realistic challenge would require an unforeseen sharp cooling episode or post-hoc revision from the primary reporting station, though current conditions render such adjustments improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions