Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration place Wuhan's expected daytime high for May 18 near 26–27 °C, consistent with mid-May climatology that typically peaks between 26 °C and 28 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds. Traders have priced 25 °C and 24 °C as the closest outcomes because ensemble models show modest spread arising from variable cloud cover and potential brief showers that could cap afternoon warming. Official resolution relies on the daily maximum recorded at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, where small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any convective activity can easily move the peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs later today will likely tighten the distribution ahead of tomorrow's observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月18日武漢氣溫最高?
24°C 28.0%
25°C 27%
23°C 19.1%
26°C 19%
$18,101 交易量
$18,101 交易量
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
19%
24°C
28%
25°C
27%
26°C
19%
27°C
10%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 28.0%
25°C 27%
23°C 19.1%
26°C 19%
$18,101 交易量
$18,101 交易量
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
19%
24°C
28%
25°C
27%
26°C
19%
27°C
10%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration place Wuhan's expected daytime high for May 18 near 26–27 °C, consistent with mid-May climatology that typically peaks between 26 °C and 28 °C under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds. Traders have priced 25 °C and 24 °C as the closest outcomes because ensemble models show modest spread arising from variable cloud cover and potential brief showers that could cap afternoon warming. Official resolution relies on the daily maximum recorded at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, where small shifts in boundary-layer moisture or timing of any convective activity can easily move the peak by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs later today will likely tighten the distribution ahead of tomorrow's observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions