Recent meteorological model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature in Wuhan on May 19 most likely between 24°C and 26°C, driven by moderate southerly flow and variable cloud cover that could limit daytime heating. Scattered showers expected in the morning may suppress peak values toward the lower end of that range, while clearer afternoon conditions under a weakening high-pressure influence could push readings to 26°C or above. Historical May averages for the region hover near 26°C, yet short-term ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to precise timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture. Traders appear to weigh these factors evenly, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of the next model update cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月19日武漢氣溫最高?
24°C 24%
26°C or higher 24%
25°C 20%
23°C 10%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
10%
24°C
24%
25°C
20%
26°C or higher
24%
24°C 24%
26°C or higher 24%
25°C 20%
23°C 10%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
10%
24°C
24%
25°C
20%
26°C or higher
24%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent meteorological model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a highest temperature in Wuhan on May 19 most likely between 24°C and 26°C, driven by moderate southerly flow and variable cloud cover that could limit daytime heating. Scattered showers expected in the morning may suppress peak values toward the lower end of that range, while clearer afternoon conditions under a weakening high-pressure influence could push readings to 26°C or above. Historical May averages for the region hover near 26°C, yet short-term ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to precise timing of precipitation and boundary-layer moisture. Traders appear to weigh these factors evenly, reflecting genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of the next model update cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions