**Trader consensus strongly favors a 30°C daily maximum in Zhengzhou on September 13, driven by real-time observations and model guidance showing temperatures peaking near that threshold under overcast skies and light westerly winds.** Multiple forecasts, including GFS-based outlooks and agency products, project afternoon highs of 28–30°C (roughly 82–86°F), consistent with current readings climbing through the mid-20s°C by midday. September climatology for the region averages around 27°C, so this represents a modestly above-normal day without the clear skies or southerly flow that would push readings higher. Official resolution likely hinges on China Meteorological Administration station data, where minor calibration differences or exact hourly peaks could theoretically shift the recorded maximum, though current conditions make a 29°C or lower outcome improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日鄭州氣溫最高？
9月13日鄭州氣溫最高？
30°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$5,893 交易量
$5,893 交易量
2026-09-13
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
是
31°C
否
32°C或更高
否
30°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$5,893 交易量
$5,893 交易量
2026-09-13
22°C或以下
$18 交易量
否
23°C
$8 交易量
否
24°C
$148 交易量
否
25°C
$230 交易量
否
26°C
$443 交易量
否
27°C
$389 交易量
否
28°C
$1,261 交易量
否
29°C
$614 交易量
否
30°C
$1,056 交易量
是
31°C
$1,440 交易量
否
32°C或更高
$287 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 30°C daily maximum in Zhengzhou on September 13, driven by real-time observations and model guidance showing temperatures peaking near that threshold under overcast skies and light westerly winds.** Multiple forecasts, including GFS-based outlooks and agency products, project afternoon highs of 28–30°C (roughly 82–86°F), consistent with current readings climbing through the mid-20s°C by midday. September climatology for the region averages around 27°C, so this represents a modestly above-normal day without the clear skies or southerly flow that would push readings higher. Official resolution likely hinges on China Meteorological Administration station data, where minor calibration differences or exact hourly peaks could theoretically shift the recorded maximum, though current conditions make a 29°C or lower outcome improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$5,893結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 30°C daily maximum in Zhengzhou on September 13, driven by real-time observations and model guidance showing temperatures peaking near that threshold under overcast skies and light westerly winds.** Multiple forecasts, including GFS-based outlooks and agency products, project afternoon highs of 28–30°C (roughly 82–86°F), consistent with current readings climbing through the mid-20s°C by midday. September climatology for the region averages around 27°C, so this represents a modestly above-normal day without the clear skies or southerly flow that would push readings higher. Official resolution likely hinges on China Meteorological Administration station data, where minor calibration differences or exact hourly peaks could theoretically shift the recorded maximum, though current conditions make a 29°C or lower outcome improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,893結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus strongly favors a 30°C daily maximum in Zhengzhou on September 13, driven by real-time observations and model guidance showing temperatures peaking near that threshold under overcast skies and light westerly winds.** Multiple forecasts, including GFS-based outlooks and agency products, project afternoon highs of 28–30°C (roughly 82–86°F), consistent with current readings climbing through the mid-20s°C by midday. September climatology for the region averages around 27°C, so this represents a modestly above-normal day without the clear skies or southerly flow that would push readings higher. Official resolution likely hinges on China Meteorological Administration station data, where minor calibration differences or exact hourly peaks could theoretically shift the recorded maximum, though current conditions make a 29°C or lower outcome improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions