Latest ensemble forecasts from major models show the overnight minimum in Amsterdam on September 22 most likely settling near 11–12 °C, driven by extensive low cloud cover, light variable winds, and high humidity that suppress radiative cooling. These conditions follow a mild September pattern with above-average sea-surface temperatures in the North Sea limiting further drops. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 10–13 °C because small differences in cloud timing or wind shifts can alter the exact low by 1–2 °C. Official verification will come from Schiphol Airport observations, with final model guidance expected before local midnight. Historical climatology places the long-term average minimum at 10.4 °C, providing context for the current near-average outlook.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日阿姆斯特丹的最低溫度？
9月22日阿姆斯特丹的最低溫度？
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
14°C 39%
10°C 25%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
7°C或以下
3%
8°C
2%
9°C
3%
10°C
25%
11°C
26%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
39%
15°C
16%
16°C
11%
17°C或以上
6%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
14°C 39%
10°C 25%
最新
最新
2026-09-22
7°C或以下
$0 交易量
3%
8°C
$0 交易量
2%
9°C
$0 交易量
3%
10°C
$25 交易量
25%
11°C
$6 交易量
26%
12°C
$0 交易量
40%
13°C
$0 交易量
40%
14°C
$0 交易量
39%
15°C
$0 交易量
16%
16°C
$0 交易量
11%
17°C或以上
$0 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major models show the overnight minimum in Amsterdam on September 22 most likely settling near 11–12 °C, driven by extensive low cloud cover, light variable winds, and high humidity that suppress radiative cooling. These conditions follow a mild September pattern with above-average sea-surface temperatures in the North Sea limiting further drops. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 10–13 °C because small differences in cloud timing or wind shifts can alter the exact low by 1–2 °C. Official verification will come from Schiphol Airport observations, with final model guidance expected before local midnight. Historical climatology places the long-term average minimum at 10.4 °C, providing context for the current near-average outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$32結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from major models show the overnight minimum in Amsterdam on September 22 most likely settling near 11–12 °C, driven by extensive low cloud cover, light variable winds, and high humidity that suppress radiative cooling. These conditions follow a mild September pattern with above-average sea-surface temperatures in the North Sea limiting further drops. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 10–13 °C because small differences in cloud timing or wind shifts can alter the exact low by 1–2 °C. Official verification will come from Schiphol Airport observations, with final model guidance expected before local midnight. Historical climatology places the long-term average minimum at 10.4 °C, providing context for the current near-average outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$32結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from major models show the overnight minimum in Amsterdam on September 22 most likely settling near 11–12 °C, driven by extensive low cloud cover, light variable winds, and high humidity that suppress radiative cooling. These conditions follow a mild September pattern with above-average sea-surface temperatures in the North Sea limiting further drops. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 10–13 °C because small differences in cloud timing or wind shifts can alter the exact low by 1–2 °C. Official verification will come from Schiphol Airport observations, with final model guidance expected before local midnight. Historical climatology places the long-term average minimum at 10.4 °C, providing context for the current near-average outlook.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions