Recent forecasts from major models indicate Ankara's overnight low on August 25 will likely settle near 16–18°C under clear, stable high-pressure conditions with light northeasterly winds. This baseline aligns with climatological norms for late summer, yet the near-even split between sub-15°C and 25°C+ contracts reflects lingering divergence in ensemble guidance on boundary-layer cooling rates and possible subtle advection of drier air. Traders are weighting the potential for faster radiational cooling if skies remain perfectly clear overnight against the risk of a modest warm anomaly delaying the minimum. Updated runs from the European and global models, due within the next 24 hours, will likely sharpen resolution criteria around these thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日安卡拉的最低溫度?
25°C或以上 86%
22°C 46%
15°C或以下 45%
16°C 28%
15°C或以下
45%
16°C
28%
17°C
28%
18°C
26%
19°C
25%
20°C
23%
21°C
19%
22°C
46%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C或以上
86%
25°C或以上 86%
22°C 46%
15°C或以下 45%
16°C 28%
15°C或以下
45%
16°C
28%
17°C
28%
18°C
26%
19°C
25%
20°C
23%
21°C
19%
22°C
46%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C或以上
86%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from major models indicate Ankara's overnight low on August 25 will likely settle near 16–18°C under clear, stable high-pressure conditions with light northeasterly winds. This baseline aligns with climatological norms for late summer, yet the near-even split between sub-15°C and 25°C+ contracts reflects lingering divergence in ensemble guidance on boundary-layer cooling rates and possible subtle advection of drier air. Traders are weighting the potential for faster radiational cooling if skies remain perfectly clear overnight against the risk of a modest warm anomaly delaying the minimum. Updated runs from the European and global models, due within the next 24 hours, will likely sharpen resolution criteria around these thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions