Recent short-range forecast guidance from global and regional models indicates a moderating high-pressure system over central Turkey, with Ankara's maximum temperature on August 25 most likely to reach 31–32 °C under mostly clear skies and light winds. This aligns with the seasonal decline in daily maxima from mid-August peaks near 34–35 °C, as solar insolation decreases and drier continental air dominates. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for 33 °C or higher without stronger southerly flow, while overnight lows near 18 °C support the daytime range. Trader consensus reflected in the 52.5 % implied probability for 31 °C incorporates this consensus outlook and the narrow resolution window before final official observations are recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日安卡拉的最高溫度？
8月25日安卡拉的最高溫度？
31°C 52%
30°C 23%
32°C 22%
29°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
23%
31°C
52%
32°C
22%
33°C
4%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 52%
30°C 23%
32°C 22%
29°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
26°C or below
$50 交易量
<1%
27°C
$128 交易量
1%
28°C
$128 交易量
1%
29°C
$112 交易量
4%
30°C
$340 交易量
23%
31°C
$550 交易量
52%
32°C
$191 交易量
22%
33°C
$132 交易量
4%
34°C
$58 交易量
1%
35°C
$104 交易量
1%
36°C or higher
$300 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast guidance from global and regional models indicates a moderating high-pressure system over central Turkey, with Ankara's maximum temperature on August 25 most likely to reach 31–32 °C under mostly clear skies and light winds. This aligns with the seasonal decline in daily maxima from mid-August peaks near 34–35 °C, as solar insolation decreases and drier continental air dominates. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for 33 °C or higher without stronger southerly flow, while overnight lows near 18 °C support the daytime range. Trader consensus reflected in the 52.5 % implied probability for 31 °C incorporates this consensus outlook and the narrow resolution window before final official observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,094結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast guidance from global and regional models indicates a moderating high-pressure system over central Turkey, with Ankara's maximum temperature on August 25 most likely to reach 31–32 °C under mostly clear skies and light winds. This aligns with the seasonal decline in daily maxima from mid-August peaks near 34–35 °C, as solar insolation decreases and drier continental air dominates. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for 33 °C or higher without stronger southerly flow, while overnight lows near 18 °C support the daytime range. Trader consensus reflected in the 52.5 % implied probability for 31 °C incorporates this consensus outlook and the narrow resolution window before final official observations are recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,094結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent short-range forecast guidance from global and regional models indicates a moderating high-pressure system over central Turkey, with Ankara's maximum temperature on August 25 most likely to reach 31–32 °C under mostly clear skies and light winds. This aligns with the seasonal decline in daily maxima from mid-August peaks near 34–35 °C, as solar insolation decreases and drier continental air dominates. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for 33 °C or higher without stronger southerly flow, while overnight lows near 18 °C support the daytime range. Trader consensus reflected in the 52.5 % implied probability for 31 °C incorporates this consensus outlook and the narrow resolution window before final official observations are recorded.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions