**Recent forecasts and observations for Austin, TX, show overnight lows stabilizing in the mid-to-upper 70s amid ongoing summer heat.** National Weather Service data from August 20 recorded a minimum of 74°F, while current model guidance and local forecasts point to similar readings for the night of August 21, with little change expected from persistent high temperatures, light winds, and elevated humidity that limit radiative cooling. Historical August climatology places typical daily lows near 75°F, with rare drops below 70°F, providing a baseline that aligns closely with the market's top outcomes. The 76-77°F bin leads at 40.5% implied probability, followed by adjacent ranges, reflecting trader consensus around these values as the most likely minimum based on the latest NWS and NOAA guidance. Warmer or cooler extremes carry sharply lower odds, consistent with the narrow variability seen in recent days and the absence of any significant frontal systems or precipitation that could alter the temperature trajectory before dawn.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於奧斯汀8月21日的最低溫度？
奧斯汀8月21日的最低溫度？
76-77°F 35%
78-79°F 30%
72-73°F 28%
74-75°F 28%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
28%
74-75°F
28%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
18%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 35%
78-79°F 30%
72-73°F 28%
74-75°F 28%
最新
最新
2026-08-21
67°F or below
$74 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$28 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$33 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
28%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
28%
76-77°F
$1 交易量
35%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
30%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
28%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
18%
84-85°F
$37 交易量
<1%
86°F or higher
$37 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts and observations for Austin, TX, show overnight lows stabilizing in the mid-to-upper 70s amid ongoing summer heat.** National Weather Service data from August 20 recorded a minimum of 74°F, while current model guidance and local forecasts point to similar readings for the night of August 21, with little change expected from persistent high temperatures, light winds, and elevated humidity that limit radiative cooling.
Historical August climatology places typical daily lows near 75°F, with rare drops below 70°F, providing a baseline that aligns closely with the market's top outcomes. The 76-77°F bin leads at 40.5% implied probability, followed by adjacent ranges, reflecting trader consensus around these values as the most likely minimum based on the latest NWS and NOAA guidance. Warmer or cooler extremes carry sharply lower odds, consistent with the narrow variability seen in recent days and the absence of any significant frontal systems or precipitation that could alter the temperature trajectory before dawn.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
交易量
$210結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts and observations for Austin, TX, show overnight lows stabilizing in the mid-to-upper 70s amid ongoing summer heat.** National Weather Service data from August 20 recorded a minimum of 74°F, while current model guidance and local forecasts point to similar readings for the night of August 21, with little change expected from persistent high temperatures, light winds, and elevated humidity that limit radiative cooling.
Historical August climatology places typical daily lows near 75°F, with rare drops below 70°F, providing a baseline that aligns closely with the market's top outcomes. The 76-77°F bin leads at 40.5% implied probability, followed by adjacent ranges, reflecting trader consensus around these values as the most likely minimum based on the latest NWS and NOAA guidance. Warmer or cooler extremes carry sharply lower odds, consistent with the narrow variability seen in recent days and the absence of any significant frontal systems or precipitation that could alter the temperature trajectory before dawn.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$210結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET**Recent forecasts and observations for Austin, TX, show overnight lows stabilizing in the mid-to-upper 70s amid ongoing summer heat.** National Weather Service data from August 20 recorded a minimum of 74°F, while current model guidance and local forecasts point to similar readings for the night of August 21, with little change expected from persistent high temperatures, light winds, and elevated humidity that limit radiative cooling. Historical August climatology places typical daily lows near 75°F, with rare drops below 70°F, providing a baseline that aligns closely with the market's top outcomes. The 76-77°F bin leads at 40.5% implied probability, followed by adjacent ranges, reflecting trader consensus around these values as the most likely minimum based on the latest NWS and NOAA guidance. Warmer or cooler extremes carry sharply lower odds, consistent with the narrow variability seen in recent days and the absence of any significant frontal systems or precipitation that could alter the temperature trajectory before dawn.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions