**Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Chongqing on August 21 centers on 23–25°C amid closely matched market-implied probabilities.** Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory indicate a daytime range of roughly 21–37°C with scattered showers or thunderstorms, pointing to overnight minima moderated by cloud cover and high humidity typical of the region's subtropical monsoon climate. Recent days have seen minimums near 26°C under partly cloudy conditions with localized heavy rain, which can suppress radiative cooling and keep nighttime temperatures elevated compared to clearer historical baselines around 25°C. Model differences arise from variable precipitation timing, urban heat island effects in the city center, and wind patterns that influence boundary-layer mixing. New observational data from surface stations will resolve the exact daily minimum, with traders weighting official reports over model spreads given the narrow outcome band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月21日重慶氣溫最低?
21°C或以下 32%
24°C 15%
22°C 12%
23°C 1%
21°C或以下
32%
22°C
12%
23°C
1%
24°C
16%
25°C
61%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
<1%
21°C或以下 32%
24°C 15%
22°C 12%
23°C 1%
21°C或以下
32%
22°C
12%
23°C
1%
24°C
16%
25°C
61%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Chongqing on August 21 centers on 23–25°C amid closely matched market-implied probabilities.** Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Observatory indicate a daytime range of roughly 21–37°C with scattered showers or thunderstorms, pointing to overnight minima moderated by cloud cover and high humidity typical of the region's subtropical monsoon climate. Recent days have seen minimums near 26°C under partly cloudy conditions with localized heavy rain, which can suppress radiative cooling and keep nighttime temperatures elevated compared to clearer historical baselines around 25°C. Model differences arise from variable precipitation timing, urban heat island effects in the city center, and wind patterns that influence boundary-layer mixing. New observational data from surface stations will resolve the exact daily minimum, with traders weighting official reports over model spreads given the narrow outcome band.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions