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icon for 5月13日香港最低溫度?

5月13日香港最低溫度?

icon for 5月13日香港最低溫度?

5月13日香港最低溫度?

26°C 100.0%

19°C或以下 <1%

20°C <1%

21°C <1%

Polymarket

$29,042 交易量

26°C 100.0%

19°C或以下 <1%

20°C <1%

21°C <1%

Polymarket

$29,042 交易量

19°C或以下

$398 交易量

20°C

$804 交易量

21°C

$652 交易量

22°C

$975 交易量

23°C

$1,499 交易量

24°C

$2,271 交易量

25°C

$2,875 交易量

26°C

$4,942 交易量

27°C

$9,589 交易量

28°C

$584 交易量

29°C或以上

$4,452 交易量

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) recorded a minimum air temperature of 26.2°C on May 13, 2026—the lowest of the day—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 26°C outcome in this resolved market. This observation, captured via standard meteorological instruments from midnight through the full diurnal cycle, aligns with pre-event forecasts anticipating limited overnight cooling amid persistent humidity and scattered clouds, consistent with May climatology where average lows hover around 24–25°C but warmer anomalies prevail in 2026's record-hot year. Scenarios challenging this positioning are negligible, requiring an unprecedented HKO data revision due to instrumental malfunction, as verified readings represent authoritative ground truth with no further updates expected.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$29,042
結束日期
2026-05-13
市場開放時間
May 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) recorded a minimum air temperature of 26.2°C on May 13, 2026—the lowest of the day—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 26°C outcome in this resolved market. This observation, captured via standard meteorological instruments from midnight through the full diurnal cycle, aligns with pre-event forecasts anticipating limited overnight cooling amid persistent humidity and scattered clouds, consistent with May climatology where average lows hover around 24–25°C but warmer anomalies prevail in 2026's record-hot year. Scenarios challenging this positioning are negligible, requiring an unprecedented HKO data revision due to instrumental malfunction, as verified readings represent authoritative ground truth with no further updates expected.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$29,042
結束日期
2026-05-13
市場開放時間
May 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

已提議結果: 否

無爭議

最終結果: 否

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"5月13日香港最低溫度?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "26°C" at 100%, followed by "19°C或以下" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "5月13日香港最低溫度?" has generated $29K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "5月13日香港最低溫度?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "5月13日香港最低溫度?" is "26°C" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "19°C或以下" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "5月13日香港最低溫度?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.