Recent meteorological forecasts from regional models and the Turkish Meteorological Service indicate stable high-pressure conditions over Istanbul on September 2, with clear skies, light northeast winds, and a mild maritime air mass supporting an overnight minimum near 22°C through moderate radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with observed evening temperatures around 23°C and limited diurnal variation, driving the strong market-implied probability for 22°C. Uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or minor forecast adjustments from updated model runs could allow a dip to 21°C if cooling strengthens overnight, though significant deviations remain unlikely without abrupt synoptic changes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日伊斯坦布爾最低溫度？
9月2日伊斯坦布爾最低溫度？
22°C 95.5%
21°C 8.9%
19°C 7.5%
20°C 6.4%
$2,801 交易量
$2,801 交易量
2026-09-02
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
22°C 95.5%
21°C 8.9%
19°C 7.5%
20°C 6.4%
$2,801 交易量
$2,801 交易量
2026-09-02
16°C or below
$107 交易量
No
17°C
$96 交易量
No
18°C
$231 交易量
No
19°C
$704 交易量
No
20°C
$729 交易量
No
21°C
$292 交易量
No
22°C
$448 交易量
Yes
23°C
$35 交易量
No
24°C
$89 交易量
No
25°C
$40 交易量
No
26°C or higher
$30 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from regional models and the Turkish Meteorological Service indicate stable high-pressure conditions over Istanbul on September 2, with clear skies, light northeast winds, and a mild maritime air mass supporting an overnight minimum near 22°C through moderate radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with observed evening temperatures around 23°C and limited diurnal variation, driving the strong market-implied probability for 22°C. Uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or minor forecast adjustments from updated model runs could allow a dip to 21°C if cooling strengthens overnight, though significant deviations remain unlikely without abrupt synoptic changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$2,801結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from regional models and the Turkish Meteorological Service indicate stable high-pressure conditions over Istanbul on September 2, with clear skies, light northeast winds, and a mild maritime air mass supporting an overnight minimum near 22°C through moderate radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with observed evening temperatures around 23°C and limited diurnal variation, driving the strong market-implied probability for 22°C. Uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or minor forecast adjustments from updated model runs could allow a dip to 21°C if cooling strengthens overnight, though significant deviations remain unlikely without abrupt synoptic changes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,801結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent meteorological forecasts from regional models and the Turkish Meteorological Service indicate stable high-pressure conditions over Istanbul on September 2, with clear skies, light northeast winds, and a mild maritime air mass supporting an overnight minimum near 22°C through moderate radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with observed evening temperatures around 23°C and limited diurnal variation, driving the strong market-implied probability for 22°C. Uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing or minor forecast adjustments from updated model runs could allow a dip to 21°C if cooling strengthens overnight, though significant deviations remain unlikely without abrupt synoptic changes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions