Recent short-range forecasts from major models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate Istanbul's overnight minimum on September 20 will likely fall in the 16–19°C range under partly cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly flow. These conditions promote moderate nocturnal radiative cooling from the surface while limiting extreme drops, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover near 17°C. Trader-implied odds remain nearly even between sub-15°C and 24°C+ outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing can alter the exact low by several degrees, and model spreads still show modest divergence on timing of any clearing. Final high-resolution runs and real-time surface observations on the 19th–20th will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日伊斯坦布爾最低溫度？
9月20日伊斯坦布爾最低溫度？
14°C或以下 93%
24°C或以上 88%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
14°C或以下
93%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C
30%
19°C
30%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C
40%
24°C或以上
88%
14°C或以下 93%
24°C或以上 88%
15°C 40%
16°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
14°C或以下
$0 交易量
93%
15°C
$0 交易量
40%
16°C
$0 交易量
40%
17°C
$0 交易量
40%
18°C
$0 交易量
30%
19°C
$0 交易量
30%
20°C
$0 交易量
40%
21°C
$0 交易量
40%
22°C
$0 交易量
40%
23°C
$0 交易量
40%
24°C或以上
$0 交易量
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from major models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate Istanbul's overnight minimum on September 20 will likely fall in the 16–19°C range under partly cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly flow. These conditions promote moderate nocturnal radiative cooling from the surface while limiting extreme drops, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover near 17°C. Trader-implied odds remain nearly even between sub-15°C and 24°C+ outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing can alter the exact low by several degrees, and model spreads still show modest divergence on timing of any clearing. Final high-resolution runs and real-time surface observations on the 19th–20th will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from major models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate Istanbul's overnight minimum on September 20 will likely fall in the 16–19°C range under partly cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly flow. These conditions promote moderate nocturnal radiative cooling from the surface while limiting extreme drops, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover near 17°C. Trader-implied odds remain nearly even between sub-15°C and 24°C+ outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing can alter the exact low by several degrees, and model spreads still show modest divergence on timing of any clearing. Final high-resolution runs and real-time surface observations on the 19th–20th will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent short-range forecasts from major models, including ECMWF and GFS ensembles, indicate Istanbul's overnight minimum on September 20 will likely fall in the 16–19°C range under partly cloudy skies and moderate northeasterly flow. These conditions promote moderate nocturnal radiative cooling from the surface while limiting extreme drops, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover near 17°C. Trader-implied odds remain nearly even between sub-15°C and 24°C+ outcomes because small shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing can alter the exact low by several degrees, and model spreads still show modest divergence on timing of any clearing. Final high-resolution runs and real-time surface observations on the 19th–20th will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions