Stable atmospheric conditions and consensus from global forecast models underpin the near-even market odds between 29°C and 34°C+ for Jeddah’s September 2 minimum, with most runs indicating overnight lows of 30–31°C. Persistent clear skies, light northwest winds off the Red Sea, and high humidity typical of early September limit radiative cooling while preventing significant diurnal drops, consistent with climatological baselines near 30°C. Minor model differences arise from subtle variations in sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer moisture, creating the tight spread across 27–32°C outcomes. Updated runs from agencies such as the Saudi National Center for Meteorology and international ensembles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日吉達最低溫度?
24°C or below 100%
34°C or higher 100%
27°C 98%
32°C 98%
24°C or below
100%
25°C
13%
26°C
73%
27°C
98%
28°C
14%
29°C
50%
30°C
51%
31°C
60%
32°C
98%
33°C
73%
34°C or higher
100%
24°C or below 100%
34°C or higher 100%
27°C 98%
32°C 98%
24°C or below
100%
25°C
13%
26°C
73%
27°C
98%
28°C
14%
29°C
50%
30°C
51%
31°C
60%
32°C
98%
33°C
73%
34°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Stable atmospheric conditions and consensus from global forecast models underpin the near-even market odds between 29°C and 34°C+ for Jeddah’s September 2 minimum, with most runs indicating overnight lows of 30–31°C. Persistent clear skies, light northwest winds off the Red Sea, and high humidity typical of early September limit radiative cooling while preventing significant diurnal drops, consistent with climatological baselines near 30°C. Minor model differences arise from subtle variations in sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer moisture, creating the tight spread across 27–32°C outcomes. Updated runs from agencies such as the Saudi National Center for Meteorology and international ensembles will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions